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Mozambique Power Report Q2 2016

Mozambique Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Mozambican power generation growth is forecast to be subdued throughout our forecast periodas delays to power plants are occurring across the board. Further gas exploration still provides ampleopportunities for increase in gas-fired generation and German investment into power infrastructure willprovide the opportunity for an increase in electrification and quality of electricity supply.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

British and Chinese companies, Ncondezi Energy and Shanghai Electric Power (SEP), have enteredinto a joint development agreement (JDA) for the development of the Ncondezi coal mine and powerplant in the Tete province. Due to a change in generation technology, the companies will reportedly haveto reapply for environmental approval for the planned 300MW coal-fired plant.

We have cut our thermal generation forecasts down from almost 7TWh to an of 1.92TWh for our forecastperiod, due to currently predicted delays for coal-fired generation coming online, slower development ofgas-fired plants as well as more moderate growth expectations in thermal generation for commissionedpower plants.

The Cahora Bassa hydropower dam has recorded its highest level of output yet, generating up to16.9TWh in 2015.

All of Mozambique's hydropower projects are reportedly delayed, with the expectation from theMozambique being that further investment into thermal power will provide a renewed boost tohydropower projects as well. We therefore do not currently forecast any new hydropower capacitycoming online within our forecast period.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Mozambique 2015
2021)
Latest Updates And Structural Trends
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Mozambique Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2015
2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Mozambique Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecasts
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014
2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014
2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014
2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014
2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2014
2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Mozambique 2020
2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Africa Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: SSA Power RRI (Scores Out Of 100)
Mozambique Power Risk/Reward Index
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
SSA Key Policies/Market Structure
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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