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Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q2 2015

BMI View: A key takeaway from recent exploration and appraisal work in Mozambique is growingconfidence that operators have proven sufficient amounts of gas to support large LNG export projects.

However, FID delays, politics, costs, infrastructure constraints and the ongoing regulatory overhaul arechallenges the country will face as it moves from exploration to production. While the timing of first LNG isparticularly difficult to pin-point, we expect Mozambique to make its presence felt in the global LNG marketby the end of the decade.

Mozambique's proven gas reserves have increased dramatically to 2.8tcm this quarter, as appraisalactivity is proving up large offshore discoveries, enabling reserves booking to begin. Given continuedoffshore discoveries and the size of discoveries to date, we expect to see continued growth in provenreserves.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2019)
SWOT
OIl & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Mozambique Offshore Gas Activity
Table: Mozambique 5th Licensing Round
Upstream Projects
Table: Mozambique Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Eni Mozambique FLNG Projects
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Mozambique - Risk/Reward Index
Africa Oil&Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil And Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dampen Upstream Outlook
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Emergent Producers Stumble At Regulatory Hurdles
Mature Producers Continue To Underperform Their Potential
Falling Oil Price Trims Rewards
An Underwhelming Downstream
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Mozambique - Energy Market Overview - Q1 2015
Regulatory Overhaul
Fiscal Regime
Table: Mozambique Fiscal Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Mozambique Licensing Regime According To Draft Bill
Licensing Rounds
Table: Mozambique 5th Licensing Round
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Company Profile
Anadarko Petroleum
Eni East Africa
Regional Overview
Africa Oil&Gas Regional Overview
Lower Risk Appetite Slowing Exploration Drive
Unconventionals: A New Frontier
East Africa: Offshore Gas, Onshore Oil
High-Risk Continent
Downstream Blues
Global Industry Overview
Global Industry Overview - 5 Themes For 2015: Oil & Gas
Table: LNG Export Terminals At Pre-FID Stage
Appendix
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Africa - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm)
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm)
Mozambique - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption And Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Mozambique - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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