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Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Mozambique Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

BMI View: FID delays, falling oil and gas prices, costs, infrastructure constraints and the ongoingregulatory overhaul are challenges the country will face as it moves to develop its massive offshore gasresources. While the timing of first LNG is particularly difficult to pin-point, notably for the onshoreterminal, we expect Mozambique to make its presence felt in the global LNG market by early/mid nextdecade.

Mozambique's proven gas reserves have increased substantially to 2.8tcm, as appraisal activity is provingup large offshore discoveries. While appraisal activities have come to an end, the final recoverablereserves are not yet know until companies book final reserves. New exploration on more frontier andonshore blocks, however, will proceed slowly despite notable interest.

We expect Eni will make a final investment decision on its 3.3bcm Coral floating liquefied naturalgas (FLNG) project in H116, with first production in 2020. This will be Mozambique's first offshore fieldproduction and LNG exports. This will be followed by Anadarko's 6.9bcm Train 1 at the Afungi onshoreLNG terminal in 2021, and Eni's 6.9bcm Train 2 at the Afungi terminal in 2022.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mozambique 2013-2019)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Offshore Exploration
Table: Mozambique Offshore Gas Exploration&Appraisal Activity
Onshore
Fifth Licensing Round
Table: Mozambique Fifth Licensing Round - Applications
Upstream Projects
Table: Mozambique Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Eni Mozambique FLNG Projects
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2019)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mozambique 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mozambique 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: BMI's Africa Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Above-Ground Risks Dulling Below-Ground Potential
Table: BMI's Africa Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream Sector Holds Limited Opportunity
Table: BMI's Africa Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Mozambique - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Energy Market Overview
Regulatory Overhaul
Special Regime For Offshore Areas 1 And 4
Fiscal Regime
Table: Mozambique Fiscal Regime
Licensing Regime
Table: Mozambique Licensing Regime According To Draft Bill
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Company Profile
Anadarko Petroleum
Eni East Africa
Regional Overview
Africa - Bullish Gas, Bearish Oil
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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