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Mozambique Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

Mozambique Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Our outlook for Mozambique's freight transport sector is robust over both the short andmedium term, with the shipping mode leading the way with very high y-o-y gains forecast at the country'smain ports between 2016 and 2020. Driving growth in the shipping and rail modes is set to be primaryindustry, mining in particular, while we anticipate a strong outlook for real trade growth, along with risinginvestment in infrastructure, which will dovetail in supporting expansion in freight volumes going forward.

Key Updates And Forecasts

An expanding consumer base and developing industries in Mozambique will keep volume growth fairlystrong in Mozambique's road freight sector. In 2016, we forecast that road freight volumes inMozambique will expand by 6.0%.

Mozambique's import and export growth is projected to grow by 28.0% y-o-y, with the country'simproving economic outlook, coupled with a strengthening in regional demand, helping to drive up trade.A tepid acceleration in coal output - which accounted for 11.4% of total exports in 2014 - will lend somesupport to export receipts, with production set to increase by 4.0% and 5.4% in 2016 and 2017,respectively.

Mozambique's air freight and ports are set to be the outperformers in the country's freight mix. Thecountry's second largest port, Beira, leads the growth in the country's freight transport and shippingsector, with tonnage volumes up 44.1% and container levels projected to increase by 12.4%.

The top trade partners will be South Africa, the Netherlands, China, the UK, India, Bahrain and the UAE.


BMI Industry View
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020)
SWOT
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2012), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2012), USDmn
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Shipping Forecast
Table: Major Ports Data (Mozambique 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
LAM Cargo
Portos e Caminhos de Ferro de Moçambique
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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