Mozambique Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016
BMI View: Our outlook for Mozambique's freight transport sector is robust over both the short andmedium term, with the shipping mode leading the way with very high y-o-y gains forecast at the country'smain ports between 2016 and 2020. Driving growth in the shipping and rail modes is set to be primaryindustry, mining in particular, while we anticipate a strong outlook for real trade growth, along with risinginvestment in infrastructure, which will dovetail in supporting expansion in freight volumes going forward.
Key Updates And Forecasts
An expanding consumer base and developing industries in Mozambique will keep volume growth fairlystrong in Mozambique's road freight sector. In 2016, we forecast that road freight volumes inMozambique will expand by 6.0%.
Mozambique's import and export growth is projected to grow by 28.0% y-o-y, with the country'simproving economic outlook, coupled with a strengthening in regional demand, helping to drive up trade.A tepid acceleration in coal output - which accounted for 11.4% of total exports in 2014 - will lend somesupport to export receipts, with production set to increase by 4.0% and 5.4% in 2016 and 2017,respectively.
Mozambique's air freight and ports are set to be the outperformers in the country's freight mix. Thecountry's second largest port, Beira, leads the growth in the country's freight transport and shippingsector, with tonnage volumes up 44.1% and container levels projected to increase by 12.4%.
The top trade partners will be South Africa, the Netherlands, China, the UK, India, Bahrain and the UAE.
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