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Mozambique Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Mozambique Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Mozambique's freight transport sector will continue to expand at a robust pace in 2016 and2017, albeit from a low base in the case of some modes - air freight in particular, for which volumes willremain very low for the foreseeable future. For the most part it will remain the transport related to theprimary industries - mining in particular - that will drive growth. Although coal prices have tumbled, thesector will continue to expand rapidly, increasing volumes in road and rail freight. Transit trade fromhinterland countries will continue to be important, although Mozambique loses out on most of this businessgiven its proximity to South Africa, the best-developed country in the region.

Our growth forecasts for volumes carried on Mozambique's different freight modes in 2016 remain robust,despite our having downgraded our real GDP growth projection since our last quarterly update. Aparticularly strong outlook for real trade growth - the nominal growth outlook is not quite so strong - alongwith low statistical base effects in the freight transport sector - the air freight sector especially - coupledwith investment into infrastructure and the development of new industries will support the expansion infreight volumes.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Imports (2012), USDmn
Table: Top 5 Trade Partners - Product Exports (2012), USDmn
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Mozambique 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
LAM Cargo
Portos e Caminhos de Ferro de Moçambique
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Mozambique 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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