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Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

Mozambique Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Mozambique's agricultural production is currently recovering from the 2015/16 El Niño episode, the fallout which is likely to weigh on the country's agribusiness sector for longer than previously predicted. Indeed, we not expect to see corn production to begin its recovery until 2019, for example, after recording consecutive years of a contraction in output growth in 2017 and 2018, on the back of a downward revision in our forecasts since our last quarterly update. Despite the short-term bearish forecast for output, we continue to hold a relatively positive view on the agribusiness sector of Mozambique beyond 2019. Mozambique has been attracting growing interest from foreign investors, and the industry will benefit from this trend in the coming years. Although the country could be able to tap abundant and largely unexploited land and water resources, its production will not keep up with robust consumption growth, however. Self-sufficiency regarding corn and poultry will slowly decrease in the coming years, leading to increasing imports. Sugar production growth to 2020/21: 20.0% to reach 420,000 tonnes. As one of Mozambique's key cash crops, long-term sugar production growth will reflect an increase in export-driven demand and the opening up of new markets; output is also expected to benefit from investment in yields.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Grains Outlook
Table: Grains Production And Consumption (Mozambique 2014-2021)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production And Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2021)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Mozambique - Risks To Livestock Outlook
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Mozambique 2013-2021)
Commodities Price Analysis
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Africa GM Outlook
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Mozambique 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Six Key Themes For Middle East And Africa Agribusiness
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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