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Montenegro Telecommunications Report 2015

Montenegro Telecommunications Report 2015

BMI View: The Montenegrin telecommunications market, reflecting its small size, is effectively saturatedand there are few opportunities left for new entrants and existing players alike. Mobile subscription growthis volatile as operators focus on extracting greater value from existing customers and emphasise postpaidproducts as part of their 3G/4G rollouts. Prontotel seems ready to take up the government's offer of a fourthmobile licence in 2015; we see no room for it here, although we acknowledge its need to reduce itsexposure to its core business in the VoIP market. Incumbent Crnogorski Telekom's success in building aconverged services product - with TV at its centre - sets a template for alternative operators, but there arenone with the resources, scale or ambition to follow through. In any case, CT's completion of an IP-basednext-generation network gives it an unassailable edge in the advanced services market.

Key Data

2014 data showed minimal growth in the mobile market after several quarters of discounting connections.2015 will see a pickup in growth, but we foresee only marginal increases over our five-year forecastperiod to 1.012mn in 2019.

Fluctuating 3G figures show how promotions have driven uptake. We forecast growth to be more steadyover 2015-2019 as mobile data usage becomes more regular among subscribers.

Broadband figures have been revised in line with our focus on dedicated mobile broadband. We expectthe market to reach 372,000 connections over wireless and wireline networks by 2019.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Mobile SWOT
Wireline SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Mobile Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts (Montenegro 2012-2019)
Wireline Forecast
Table: Telecoms Sector - Wireline - Historical Data & Forecasts (Montenegro 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Table: Central & Emerging Europe Telecoms Index, Q3 2015
Market Overview
Mobile Market Overview
Mobile Growth
ARPU
3G
Mobile Operator Data
Table: Mobile Market Overview
Table: Telenor Montenegro
Table: T-Mobile Montenegro
Table: M:tel
Central And Eastern Europe Mobile Content
Broadband Market Overview
Fixed Line
Broadband
Table: Fixed Broadband Accesses By Type, Q411-Q414
Pay-TV/IPTV
Mobile Broadband
Industry Trends And Developments
Regulatory Development
Table: Montenegro: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
Fixed-Line Regulatory Developments
Mobile Market Regulatory Developments
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Operators - Selected Financial Data (USDmn)
Company Profile
Crnogorski Telekom/T-Mobile
Telenor Montenegro
M:tel
Regional Overview
Business Divisions
Table: Revenue By Business Segment (HRK '000)
Financial Performance
Geographical Performance
Table: Revenue By Geography (HRKmn)
Domestic Market
Export Markets
Ericsson Market
Outlook
Table: Selected ENT Contracts, 2013-2014
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Montenegro 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Montenegro 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Montenegro 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Montenegro 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Montenegro 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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