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Mexico Tourism Report Q2 2015


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Mexico Tourism Report Q2 2015

BMI View: We have revised our forecast for tourism arrivals growth in Mexico in 2015 and are now expecting 4.6% growth, with European arrivals holding up better than expected. We believe that this will feed through to increased investment into hotels and restaurants over the short-to-medium term.

BMI is encouraged that both European and US arrivals are forecast to perform solidly in 2015, although US arrivals remain below historical trends. With the US economy now firmly returned to growth, we believe that this will provide a solid foundation for Mexico's tourist industry over the forecast period. While tourism from European is currently growing strongly, we caution that any major upsets in the eurozone, particularly related to Greek debt, could prompt a revision of our forecasts. As of yet, however, European tourists appear to be responding to a major marketing campaign by Mexican tourist authorities and view Mexico as an increasingly attractive destination.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Tourism
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Inbound Tourism
Table: Inbound Tourism (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Inbound Tourism, Top 10 Markets By Arrivals, '000 (Mexico 2012-2019)
Outbound Tourism
Table: Outbound Tourism (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Top 10 Outbound Tourism Destinations, '000 (Mexico 2012-2019)
Travel
Table: Receipts for Transport and Travel (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Breakdown of Methods of Tourist Travel (Mexico 2012-2019)
Hotels
Table: Hotel Accommodation (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Hotels and Restaurants Industry Value (Mexico 2012-2019)
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Tourism Risk/Reward Index
Table: Americas Tourism Risk/Reward Index
Security Risk
Market Overview
Table: Global Hotel Groups' Presence In Mexico
Table: Mexico's Major Air Transport Infrastructure Projects
Competitive Landscape
Grupo Posadas
Karisma Hotels
Palace Resorts
Meliá Hotels International
Iberostar
Occidental
Playa Hotels And Resorts
Global Industry Overview
Global Assumptions
Table: Global Assumptions, 2014-2019
Table: Global And Regional Real GDP Growth, 2014-2017 (% change y-o-y)
Developed States
Table: Developed States, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
Emerging Markets
Table: Emerging Markets, Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2014-2017
Table: BMI Versus Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2015 And 2016 (%)
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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