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Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Mexico's historic energy sector liberalisation marks the start of a fundamental shift for thecountry's hydrocarbons sector. Although it will be a number of years before results are felt in the country'sproduction and reserves data, over the long term the reforms will bolster upstream activity and reverse adecade-long decline in oil production.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

Weak fundamentals combined with bearish speculative positioning have depressed benchmark pricesbelow profitable levels for Mexican crude production. Our forecast for continued price volatility over thenext several months will weigh on Mexico's already downbeat outlook, limiting investment into existingprojects by state-owned Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex). We have therefore reduced our growth figure fortotal liquids production this year from a previous average of -4.3% to -6.9% y-o-y implying a furtherreduction of 93,000b/d. This compares to a decline of 6.1% y-o-y in 2015 and extends Mexico's overalllosses for a 12th consecutive year.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020)
SWOT
Oil & Gas SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Upstream Projects
Table: Mexico - Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2020-2025)
Upstream Production - Gas
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Cost Per Well
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2020-2025)
Refining
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Mexican Refineries, Active And Proposed
Table: Pemex Downstream Spending Plan
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Mexico 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025)
Gas Consumption
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025)
Trade - Oil
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2020)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025)
Refined Fuels Forecasts
Latest Updates
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG)
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Latin America - Composite Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Composite RRI: Sector Shifts Continue To Take Shape
Upstream RRI: Few Shifts, But Changes Loom
Table: Latin America - Upstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Downstream RRI: Medium-Term Outlook Reinforces Current Dynamics
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index, Out of 100
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index
Mexico Upstream Index - Overview
Mexico Downstream Index - Overview
Market Overview
Energy Market Overview
Overview
Government Policy
Licensing And Regulation
Table: First Bidding Round: Southern Region
Table: Second Bidding Round - Northern Region
Table: Third Bid Round - Chicontepec
Table: Tender Schedule For Mexico's Licensing Round One
International Energy Relations
Table: Mexico's Export Crude Grades
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Downstream Projects
Service Stations
Oil Storage Facilities
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
LNG Terminals
Table: LNG Import Terminals In Mexico
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Energy Players
Table: Upstream Players
Table: Downstream Players
Company Profile
Pemex
Repsol
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Latin America Overview
Table: Latin America Oil And Gas Production, Refining Capacity And Trade, 2013-2024
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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