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Mexico Mining Report 2015

Mexico Mining Report 2015

BMI View: Mexico's mining industry will experience steady growth due to the sector's solid project pipelineand continued investment. The sector will benefit from a stable business environment, though continuedmineral price weakness and violent conflicts pose a downside risk.

Mexico will continue to be the world's largest silver producer due to the country's vast silver reserves. Silverminer Fresnillo will remain the sector's leader, accounting for roughly one quarter of Mexican production.

Additionally, junior companies will seek to develop small- to medium-sized silver mines as well as golddeposits found alongside silver. Furthermore, copper production will continue to be driven by GrupoMexico, though we expect junior and mid-tier miners will develop copper projects. Nevertheless, webelieve Mexico's copper output will trail others in the Americas, and expect Chile and Peru to receive thebulk of Americas' copper-related investment in the coming years.


BMI Industry View
Risks To Outlook
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Copper: Modest Growth Amidst Weak Price Climate
Output To Grow
Table: Mexico - Copper Mine Projects
Risks To Outlook
Table: Copper Production Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019)
Silver: Project Pipeline To Drive Growth
Strong Project Pipeline To Support Growth
Table: Mexico - Silver Projects
Headwinds Lie Ahead
Table: Silver Production (Mexico 2014-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Mexico Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Industry Rewards
Country Rewards
Risks
Industry Risks
Country Risks
Table: Mining Industry Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Americas Risk Reward Index
Regional Risks Increase Modestly
Weak Prices To Hurt, While Stronger Dollar A Mixed Blessing
Regional Outlook Unchanged Despite Some Reordering
Table: Americas - Mining Risk/Reward Index
Regulatory Development
Recent Developments
Positive Investment Outlook, Yet Royalties Diminish Attractiveness
Trade And Investment Risk Analysis
Commodities Forecast
Commodity Strategy
Ferrous Metals
Iron Ore: Price To Remain Under Pressure In 2015-2016
Steel: Subdued Prices Until 2017
Non-Ferrous Metals
Copper: Subdued Outlook, Despite Recent Rally
Lead: Prices Weakness To Continue
Nickel: Subdued Prices Due To Weak Demand Growth
Tin: Supply Deficits To Underpin Rally In Tin Prices
Zinc: Positive Multi-Year Outlook, But Increasing Risks In Months Ahead
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Competitive Landscape
Grupo Mexico Dominates Mining Sector
Table: Mexico - Competitive Landscape
Precious Metals Miners Proliferate Sector
Company Profile
Industrias Peñoles
Table: Industrias Peñoles - Key Financial Data
Global Company Strategy - Grupo México - Q315
Table: Grupo México - Key Financial Data
Regional Overview
Three Key Themes For Americas Mining
Regulatory Changes Still On The Cards
Dollar Strength And Oil Price Weakness To Push Down Costs
Southern Growth To Outpace North
Global Industry Overview
Global Overview
2. Stronger US Dollar To Persist
3. Iron Ore Market To Consolidate
5. Standouts In 2015
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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