Mexico Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Mexico Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We forecast positive growth across Mexico's freight sector in 2016, with the rail mode showingthe rosiest signs of growth both in 2016 and in the medium term to 2019. While our forecasts showsignificant drops in indicators such as real trade growth from 2015 to 2016, growth remains positive andkey macroeconomic figures such as real GDP and GDP per capita growth are on a solid upward trajectory,which will filter through the increasingly powerful Mexican consumer to continue driving the economy andfreight sector volumes.

Mexico's freight sector stands to benefit from a boosted economy and healthy, albeit modest, growth figuresin road, rail and air freight tonnage. Rail freight will be the highest-performing mode to 2019, as well asleading the way in 2016, although it should be noted that drops in y-o-y growth in 2016 come off the backof higher growth rates in 2015 than previous years. Although these small surges will not be replicated in2016, continued positive growth in the short and medium term suggests the gains made in 2015 havecreated a solid foundation for subsequent expansion in all freight modes.

BMI Industry View
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Mexico 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Mexico 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Mexico 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Mexico 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Aerotransportes Mas de Carga
Grupo México
Kansas City Southern de México
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Politics
Table: Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Mexico - Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Mexico - Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Mexico - Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Mexico - Net Exports Forecasts
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025)
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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