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Mexico Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

Mexico Agribusiness Report Q2 2015

BMI View: Overall, the long-term outlook for the Mexican agriculture sector looks less optimistic thanprevious years. Consumer demand growth is largely slowing, particularly in key areas such as sugar andcorn, where per capita consumption is already high. Competitiveness is also an issue, particularly in thegrains and livestock sector. Although we forecast a rebound in production for key sectors like corn andmeat, we have a largely subdued long-term production outlook for these sectors, as cheap US imports,lower prices, and distortions due to government intervention reduce production incentives. We expectimproving growth in the country's sugar sector, as the government has recently implemented reforms,however, compared to large global exporters, Mexico's impact on the global market will remain relativelyminimal.

Key Forecasts

Corn production growth to 2018/19: 12% to 25mn tonnes. We have revised down our productiongrowth estimates for corn, as we believe the area dedicated to corn is unlikely to grow significantly in thecoming years, and use of genetically modified seeds remains limited. The strong five-year growth figureis owing to base effects.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Grains Outlook
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Corn Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Table: Wheat Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Dairy Outlook
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Butter Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Table: Cheese Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Table: Milk Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Coffee Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Livestock Outlook
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Beef Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Table: Pork Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Table: Poultry Production & Consumption (Mexico 2009-2014)
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Softs Update
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Monthly Grains Update
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Americas GM Outlook
Americas Machinery Outlook
Table: Key Regions To Struggle In 2015
Americas Fertiliser Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Drink
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Mexico 2014-2019)
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019)
Prepared/Canned Food
Meat
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019)
Fish
Oils And Fats
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Dairy
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Baked Products
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019)
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019)
Regional Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Main Agribusiness Players
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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