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Malaysia Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

Malaysia Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect strong growth for trade in Malaysia over the coming years, boosting freight volumesfor all modes. Rail will experience the biggest increase, catering for construction material transfers whileroad freight will dominate in terms of tonnage with industries utilising the country's extensive road networkfor their cargo transfer needs. Air freight will experience slow, steady growth limited by functional and costconstraints. Rising consumer demand in the growing economy is also contributing to our positive outlookwith the recently agreed Trans-Pacific Partnership presenting further growth potential over the medium tolong term.

Malaysia has enjoyed economic growth since 2010 and we forecast growth to continue over the mediumterm, although at slightly lower rates than previous years. For the years 2010-2014 real GDP average isestimated to have reached 5.7%, while we anticipate an average of 4.6% for years 2015-2019. Freight,particularly for road, benefits from increasing consumer demand driven by relatively low unemploymentrates (4.1% average 2015-2019) and inflation rates remaining lower than average wage growth. Malaysia oilproduction has declined significantly over the past decade however it remains a net exporter of oil andnatural gas and so current low oil prices are having an effect on government revenues. With domesticdemand for energy increasing and the country's oil reserves decreasing we forecast that by 2017 Malaysiawill become a net importer of oil.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Destinations
Table: Top Export Destinations
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Malaysia 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
MASkargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Malaysia 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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