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Malaysia Autos Report Q2 2015

Malaysia Autos Report Q2 2015

We expect Malaysian auto sales to experience modest growth in 2015 as a subdued economic growthoutlook weighs on private consumption. After growing by 1.6% in 2014 to 679,176 units, we forecastvehicle sales to rise by 1.9% in 2015 to 678,930 units.

Our Country Risk team expects economic headwinds to come to the fore in 2015 and forecasts real GDP tobe 4.2%, which will be a notable slowdown from the estimated 5.8% GDP growth in 2014. Theimplementation of a 6.0% goods and services tax in April 2015, combined with the reduction of fuelsubsidies will constrain domestic consumption as the prices of goods and fuel increase. Consequently, ourCR team expects private consumption growth to slow to 3.0% in 2015 from 3.9% in 2014. Against thisbackdrop, we are forecasting passenger car sales to rise by a smaller clip of 1.8% in 2015 versus 2.0% in2014.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malaysia 2013-2019)
Production
Sales
Industry Trend Analysis - Challenges Cloud Indonesian National Car Project
Passenger Cars
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malaysia 2013-2019)
Table: Malaysia - Vehicle Sales By Brand (Both Passenger Cars And Commercial Vehicles)
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Malaysia 2013-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Headwinds To Curtail Growth
Infrastructure The Sole Bright Spot
Table: Economic Activity (Malaysia 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Bmi Industry Risk/Reward Scores - Asia-Pacific Autos
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Proton
Perodua
Toyota
Honda
Regional Overview
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
Table: Fuel Efficient Vehicle Incentive Schemes
Global Industry Overview
Africa Still The Growth Driver
Oil Prices A Boon For Importers
Regulation Driving Innovation
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
SUVs To Be Segment Of Choice
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malaysia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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