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Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Malawi and Mozambique Telecommunications Report Q2 2016

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

Based on data published by some of the operators for Q3 2015, we estimate that Malawi had 6.2mnmobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by 12.6% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobilepenetration rate of almost 38%. In the five years to 2020, we now predict that Malawi's mobile marketwill grow to surpass 9.7mn mobile customers. 3G subscriptions are expected to grow from 19.8% ofmobile subscriptions in 2015 to over 31% of the total market in 2020.

We estimate that Mozambique had 16.4mn mobile telephony subscribers at the end of 2015, up by8.3% y-o-y and equivalent to a mobile penetration rate of 58.5%. We expect there to be almost 21mnmobile subscriptions and a penetration rate of 65.6% in Mozambique by 2020. We estimate that 3Gsubscriptions accounted for 10.5% of Mozambican mobile subscribers in 2015 and expect 3Gsubscribers to rise to over 19% of total subscriptions by 2020.

By 2020, we forecast Malawi's internet penetration to reach 15%. However, the country's broadbandpenetration rate will remain underwhelming at just 0.7%. Although internet penetration inMozambique is expected to reach 27% by 2020, broadband penetration will reach only 1%.


BMI Industry View
Latest Updates & Industry Developments
SWOT
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Malawi
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Malawi 2013-2020)
Mozambique
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: Regional RRI Comparison, Q216
Table: Sub-Saharan Africa Risk/Reward Index, Q2 2016
Malawi Risk Reward Index
Mozambique Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Malawi
Market Tends & Developments
Mobile
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Pay-TV/Convergence
Mozambique
Market Drivers & Trends
Mobile
Networks
Wireline Voice & Broadband
Table: Fixed Voice Market
Regulatory Development
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players
Table: mCel Mozambique
Table: Vodacom Mozambique
Table: Airtel Malawi
Table: TNM
Company Profile
Airtel Africa
mcel Mozambique
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Malawi 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Malawi 1990-2025)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mozambique 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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