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Malawi Country Risk Report 20 2018

Malawi Country Risk Report 20 2018

Economic activity in Malawi will decelerate over the coming quar-ters as poor rainfall and crop disease adversely effect agricultural production.


Executive Summary
Core Views
Key Risks
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Economic Risk Index
Economic Growth Outlook
Agricultural Challenges Undermine Growth
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
Outlook On External Position
TABLE: TOP FIVE EXPORTS IN 2015
TABLE: TOP FIVE IMPORTS IN 2015
Monetary Policy Framework
Structural Fiscal Position
TABLE: MAIN REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE CATEGORIES
Long-Term Economic Outlook
On A Gradual Road To Recovery
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 2: Political Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Political Risk Index
Domestic Politics
Corruption And Shifting Alliances Weaken Policymaking
Long-Term Political Outlook
Reforms Remain Critical To Rebuilding Donor Relations
Chapter 3: Demographic Outlook
Demographic Outlook
TABLE: POPULATION BY AGE GROUP
TABLE: POPULATION BY AGE GROUP %
TABLE: POPULATION HEADLINE INDICATORS
TABLE: KEY POPULATION RATIOS
TABLE: URBAN/RURAL POPULATION & LIFE EXPECTANCY
Chapter 4: BMI Global Macro Outlook
Trade Tensions Take Centre Stage
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: MALAWI – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS

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