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Liberia and Sierra Leone Country Risk Report Q3 2018

Liberia and Sierra Leone Country Risk Report Q3 2018

Growth in Liberia is set to accelerate in the coming quarters as the inflationary effects of currency depreciation begin to cool. Public investment and increasing production – boosted by greater lending to SMEs – will drive the economic expansion.

We expect George Weah's new government in Liberia to make some progress in fighting corruption in the coming months as he tries to change perceptions of the government following Ellen Johnson Sirleaf's departure. However, it is likely to remain a long-term chal-lenge owing to structural weaknesses.


BMI Index
BMI Risk Index – Sierra Leone
BMI Risk Index – Liberia
Executive Summary – Liberia
Core Views
Key Risks
Chapter 1.1: Economic Outlook – Liberia
SWOT Analysis
Economic Growth Outlook
High Lending And Public Investment Will Boost Growth After Inflation Abates
Chapter 1.2: 10-Year Forecast – Liberia
The Liberian Economy To 2027
Extractive Industries Will Drive Growth
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 1.3: Political Outlook – Liberia
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
Anti-Corruption Drive To Gain Momentum In Short Term
Long-Term Political Outlook
Putting The War Behind It
Executive Summary – Sierra Leone
Core Views
Key Risks
Chapter 2.1: Economic Outlook – Sierra Leone
SWOT Analysis
Economic Growth Outlook
Mining And Chinese Investment Will See Growth Pick Up
Chapter 2.2: 10-Year Forecast – Sierra Leone
The Sierra Leone Economy To 2027
Ebola After-Effects Will Continue To Weigh On Growth
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 2.3: Political Outlook – Sierra Leone
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
Review Of Mining Contracts May Offer Risks To Firms
Long-Term Political Outlook
Stability Will Continue Despite Ebola Upheaval
Chapter 3: BMI Global Macro Outlook
Key Divergences Emerging In World Economy
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % Y-O-Y
TABLE: LIBERIA – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS
TABLE: SIERRA LEONE – MACROECONOMIC DATA & FORECASTS

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