Lebanon Telecommunications Report 2015
BMI View: A lack of true competition in the mobile market has held back Lebanon's growth potential, sothe government has come up with plans to liberalise the market including launching a third mobile marketoperator, but BMI believes they will have little real effect. This is potentially why the mobile market hasfailed to grow over the last four years. BMI believes this situation is unlikely to change over our forecastand we therefore downgraded the outlook for mobile growth to 2019. On the upside, operators havebenefited from increase in data service usage as operators reported 58% of the market signed up to usemobile data in June 2014.
Mobile growth will average just 1.7% over 2015-2019, with penetration reaching 89.3% by the end of theforecast period.
The fixed-line market will buck regional trends and continue to show growth, although less than 1% ayear from 2015.
Broadband growth will be the fastest area of expansion in the market. The introduction of 3G and 4Gdedicated mobile broadband will be the segment's main driver.
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