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Lebanon Telecommunications Report 2017

Lebanon Telecommunications Report 2017

BMI View: We retain a negative outlook for the Lebanese telecommunications market, owing to a variety offactors. A lack of true competition in the mobile market has held back Lebanon's growth potential, so thegovernment has come up with plans to liberalise the market including launching a third mobile marketoperator, but we believe this will have little real effect unless the government's direct influence is lifted. Thissituation is unlikely to change over our forecast and we have therefore downgraded the outlook for mobilegrowth to 2021. On the upside, operators have benefited from an increase in data service usage as 62% ofthe market signed up to use mobile data by end-2015.

Latest Updates And Industry Developments

Minister Harb's Agenda 2020 involved deploying nationwide 4.5G services by end-2016 and developing5G services for the future. Following an agreement signed in 2016, we remain sceptical about itsdeliverability.

Lebanon's national fixed provider Ogero remains embroiled in a national illegal internet scandalinvolving the company's director general and various private companies accused of illegally sharingbandwidth profits.

Mobile growth will average just 1.45% over 2016-2020, with penetration remaining under 90% by end ofour forecast period.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Telecoms
Industry Forecast
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (Lebanon 2014-2021)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Index
Table: MENA Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q317
Lebanon Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Market Drivers And Trends
Mobile
Wireline Voice And Broadband
Regulatory Development
Regulatory Overview
Industry Risks
Latest Developments
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Lebanon 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Lebanon 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Lebanon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Lebanon 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Lebanon 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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