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Kyrgyzstan Power Report Q4 2017

Kyrgyzstan Power Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Kyrgyzstan's power sector will remain dominated by hydropower over our 10-year forecastperiod due to a lack of other projects being commissioned. High reliance on hydropower, with its outputaffected by seasonal changes, will result in the country suffering from electricity deficits. High T&D losseswill plague the country's power sector due to an inefficient grid network. Regional trading will remainunder threat as the CASA-1000 interconnector project is vulnerable to security risks.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

A Czech company, Liglass Trading, has reportedly been chosen by the Kyrgyz government to replaceRussia in constructing the Upper Naryn hydropower project. Liglass Trading will reportedly also beconstructing a further 10 small hydropower projects in Kyrgyzstan.

While we note that this is potentially a positive development for Kyrgyzstan's hydropower ambitions, weawait construction to start before factoring the project into our forecasts, due to previous delays andcancellations. There are reportedly irregularities surrounding the awarding of the contract to Liglasstrading and, as of yet, the company has allegedly not yet paid the pledged USD37mn to buy out thecontract from RusHydro.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2016 - 2022)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Kyrgyzstan Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic And Demographic Data (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Kyrgyzstan Power Forecast Scenario
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Transmission And Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2015-2020)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kyrgyzstan 2021-2026)
Industry Risk Reward Index
CEE Power RRI: Central Asia Dampens Regional Performance
Industry Risk Reward Index
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Pricing
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Power: Five Key Charts
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Power Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Explanation and Sources

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