Kosovo Telecommunications Report 2015
BMI View: The Kosovan telecommunications market offers few opportunities for prospective and existinginvestors alike. The wireline voice sector is small and the ageing infrastructure woefully under-utilised.Few alternative players have the means or the appetite to compete for a small user base. The mobile marketis only a little more competitive, but with one MVNO having expired investors are advised to look elsewherefor growth opportunities. The wireline broadband market is more rounded, with a wider mix of players, yetthere is really only one alternative player of note. The lack of consolidation in this fragmented marketimplies there is little value to be unlocked and plummeting mobile ARPUs indicate that consumer spendingappetites are weak. Against this backdrop, there is the recurring problem of political interference in policysettingand the on-off privatisation of incumbent PTK.
Mobile penetration expected to stay below 100% through to 2019 as operators prove unable or unwillingto reach into rural areas. Boosted by the launch of 3G services, steady but modest subscription growth isforecast for 2015-2019, culminating in 1.778mn subscriptions.
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