Kenya Telecommunications Q4 2018
We maintain our our positive long-term view for the Kenyan mobile market. Furthermore, we believe that low mobilepenetration rates indicate that there is still plenty of scope for subscription growth. Airtel Kenya’s decision to slash call rates mayboost its market share in the short term but it is not a sustainable strategy to compete with Safaricom. 3G/4G uptake and organicsubscriber growth will remain hallmarks of the mobile market over the next five years with the demand for data fuelled by growth inusage of social networking, Music, video and mobile financial services. However, growth will be volatile in 2018 due to SIM re-registration as the market still harbours inactive SIMs that could be disconnected at any time. Meanwhile, fixed voice subscriptionsseem to be declining at a fast rate and we do not expect operators to make large investments to improve fixed-line services, ascompetition is focused on mobile broadband and mobile money services.
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