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Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2017

Kenya Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

Within the wider East Africa region, Kenya's pharmaceutical market will be viewed asa particularly attractive investment destination by international drugmakers given its favourable economicgrowth outlook and increasing chronic disease burden. Strict controls of illegal drug dealings will have asignificant impact on drugs sales within the country. Though it does not yet cover the majority of thecountry's population, the innovative measures undertaken within the health insurance sector will result inincreased pharmaceuticals and healthcare sales within the country.

Headline Expenditure Projections

Pharmaceuticals: KES83.83bn (USD826mn) in 2016 to KES95.25bn (USD914mn) in 2017; 13.6%growth in local currency terms and 10.7% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from previousquarter.

Healthcare: KES378.56bn (USD3.72bn) in 2015 to KES417.26bn (USD4.00bn) in 2016; 10.2% growthin local currency terms and 7.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast unchanged from previous quarter.

Risk/ Reward Index

Sub-Saharan Africa is a region with high variability of market attractiveness for innovative drugmakers.While certain markets hold significant opportunities for the commercialisation of pharmaceuticals, theregion itself lags behind global standards in all areas given its underdeveloped nature. As such, it is vitalthat companies appreciate the varying levels of investment risks and rewards that are present in the marketsin Sub-Saharan Africa. BMI's Innovative Pharmaceuticals

Risk/Reward Index

, which provides a globallycomparative and numerically based assessment of a market's attractiveness for companies looking to launcha high-value drug, was established to address this.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Forecasts (Kenya 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Pharmaceutical Market Forecast
Table: Pharmaceutical Sales, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Healthcare Market Forecast
Table: Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Table: Government Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Table: Private Healthcare Expenditure Trends, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Prescription Drug Market Forecast
Table: Prescription Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Patented Drug Market Forecast
Table: Patented Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Generic Drug Market Forecast
Table: Generic Drug Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Kenya
Table: Over-The-Counter (OTC) Medicine Market Indicators, Historical Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2013-2021)
Pharmaceutical Trade Forecast
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts (Kenya 2015-2021)
Table: Pharmaceutical Trade Data And Forecasts local currency (Kenya 2015-2021)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Sub-Saharan Africa Pharmaceuticals: Small Market Sizes Weaken Attractiveness To Innovative Drugmakers
Regulatory Review
Intellectual Property Issues
Pricing & Reimbursement Regime
Market Overview
Healthcare Sector
Table: Healthcare Resources (Kenya 2011-2016)
Table: Healthcare Personnel (Kenya 2011-2016)
Table: Healthcare Activity (Kenya 2011-2016)
Research & Development
Clinical Trials
Epidemiology
Competitive Landscape
Research-Based Industry
Table: Multinational Market Activity
Pharmaceutical Distribution
Pharmaceutical Retail Sector
Company Profile
GlaxoSmithKline
Merck & Co
Novartis
Pfizer
Sanofi
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025)
Glossary
Methodology
Pharmaceutical Expenditure Forecast Model
Healthcare Expenditure Forecast Model
Notes On Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Indicators - Rationale And Sources

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