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Kenya Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

BMI Industry View
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Kenya 2015-2021)
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Kenya 2016)
SWOT
Infrastructure SWOT
Industry Forecast
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Kenya 2015-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Kenya - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Africa - SSA Infrastructure RRI: Stabilisation, But Tough Year In 2016
Table: SSA Infrastructure Risk Reward Index Table, Q216
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

Kenya Infrastructure Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Following higher than expected real growth in 2015, we have adjusted our forecasts for 2016 to9.8%. Key drivers of growth remain efforts to integrate regional transport links and investment in Nairobi'sreal estate sector. We highlight the government's effort to stem corruption in the industry through theestablishment of the National Construction Authority to oversee contractors, though we note governmentcorruption must be tackled to improve overall investor sentiment.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

We have revised our forecasts upwards following higher than expected growth in 2015. Kenya'sconstruction industry will record 9.8% real growth in 2016, 8.6% over the next five years and 6.8% overour full 10-year forecast period until 2025.

Expansion in regional transport links, as well as Nairobi's increasingly attractive market, will ensureKenya cements itself as the business hub of East Africa.

While the overall outlook is positive, we highlight that corruption in the government is dampeninginvestor confidence in the sector.


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