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Kenya Agribusiness Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Kenya will continue to underperform its regional peers with regard to the development of itsagricultural sector. Despite COMESA granting another extension to the sugar import safeguard, which willprovide a short-term boost, we expect the country's sugar sector to remain regionally inefficient and to postvery limited growth over the coming years. However, we forecast steady coffee production growth due toimprovements in husbandry techniques. Having largely avoided the El Niño-related droughts that affectedgrain production in southern Africa, Kenya is now facing its own considerable drought problems, and willsee food security deteriorate, especially in rural areas.

Key Forecasts

Corn production growth 2016/17 to 2020/21: 34% to 3.9mn tonnes. The potential wide-scaleintroduction of genetically modified seeds presents upside risks to this view. However, much of thisgrowth is base effects related to the 2016/17 droughts as well as historical data revisions.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Agribusiness
Industry Forecast
Coffee Outlook
Table: Kenya - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Coffee Production & Consumption (Kenya 2013-2021)
Grains Outlook
Table: Kenya - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Grains Production & Consumption (Kenya, 2013-2021)
Sugar Outlook
Table: Kenya - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook
Table: Risks To Outlook
Table: Sugar Production & Consumption (Kenya 2013-2021)
Commodities Price Analysis
Commodities Performance And Forecasts
Table: BMI Commodities Views
Table: Select Commodities - Performance & BMI Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
Africa Fertiliser Outlook
Africa GM Outlook
Africa Machinery Outlook
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions
Downstream Analysis
Food
Latest Updates
Structural Trends
Table: Food Sales (Kenya 2014-2021)
Regional Overview
Six Key Themes For Middle East And Africa Agribusiness
Competitive Landscape
Table: Kenya - Competitive Landscape
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Kenya 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kenya 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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