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Kenya Agribusiness Q3 2019

Kenya Agribusiness Q3 2019

Key View:

Despite a strong recovery in Kenyan agricultural production after the drought of 2016/17, the sector will face anothertough year in 2019/20 as dry weather returns. We expect grain, coffee and sugar production to decline as a result and see downsiderisks to consumption (namely grains) as regional suppliers such as South Africa and Zambia will be exporting less owing to dryweather impacting their domestic supply. In addition, the sector will suffer from slow progress with the privatisation of the country'sstate-owned sugar mills and a number of coffee support programmes failing to boost production. In the long term, we expectoutput to recover owing to base effects.

Key View
Industry Forecast
Commodities Price Analysis
Monthly Commodities Strategy: Pockets Of Outperformance But Overall Muted Outlook
Upstream Analysis
Africa GM Outlook
Africa Machinery Outlook
Africa Fertiliser Outlook: Improving Nitrogen-Based Production Outlook
Downstream Analysis
Regional Overview
Five Key Themes For Middle East And Africa Agribusiness
Competitive Landscape
Kenya Demographic Outlook
Agribusiness Methodology

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