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Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Autos Report 2016

Kazakhstan & Uzbekistan Autos Report 2016

BMI View: A combination of a still-sluggish economy and a weakening currency will lead to furtherchallenges for the Kazakh new vehicle sales market in 2016. We are forecasting 2% sales growth for thesector as a whole, with commercial vehicles set to outperform passenger cars. For Uzbekistan, the neartermoutlook is also challenging and we are forecasting 1.5% sales growth for the sector, with commercialvehicles again set to outperform passenger cars.

Key Views

The year 2015 has been a challenging one for both the Kazakh and the Uzbek auto industry.

Media reports have suggested that many Kazakhs have been travelling to neighbouring Russia to buy newvehicles, certainly during the early part of 2015, when the rouble was weakening sharply against allglobal currencies, including the tenge.

Although we expect another difficult year for Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan auto sales in 2016, we remainupbeat on the prospects for both markets over the long term.

Demographic trends are favourable and car ownership rates per capita remain low.


BMI Industry View
Key Views
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Latest Developments
Kazakhstan - Sales
Kazakhstan - Production
Kazakhstan - Trade
Uzbekistan - Sales
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Uzbekistan - Trade
Passenger Cars
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Latest Developments - Kazakhstan
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling Light Vehicle Brands, 10M15
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Latest Developments - Uzbekistan
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Historical Data And Forecasts
Latest Developments
Table: Kazakhstan, Top-Selling CV Brands, 10M15
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Russia Too Risky To Realise Potential
Developed States Show Signs Of Risk
Trouble Spots Marked By High Risk Position
Company Profile
GM Uzbekistan
AziaAVTO
Regional Overview
Table: Emerging Europe - Autos Production Investment
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kazakhstan 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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