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Kazakhstan Power Report Q2 2016

Kazakhstan Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: This quarter we have extended our forecasts to 2025. This notwithstanding, our view on theKazakhstan's power market remains largely unvaried. We continue to expect healthy growth inKazakhstan's power sector over BMI's 10-year forecast period to 2025, in terms of generation andconsumption. Although coal will continue to maintain its dominance over our ten-year forecast period to2025,, non-hydro renewables will grow rapidly, with a slew of foreign-financed wind and solar projects inthe pipeline. The government also plans to restart the exploitation of nuclear energy, helped byKazakhstan's vast uranium wealth. Power production will comfortably meet demand, with Kazakhstan'sdependence on energy imports decreasing over our forecast period.

We expect the Kazakh solar power sector to register limited growth over the next five years, as a result ofthe sporadic completion of only a small number of solar power projects. This will be in large part theresult of investment prospects in the sector being undermined by uncertainty over the country's economicoutlook and Kazakhstan's challenging business environment.

Kazakhstan remains committed in developing its first nuclear power plant. In October 2015, Kazakhstan'sVice-Minister of Energy Bakhytzhan Dzhaksaliyev said Kazakhstan will decide the location and strategicpartner for its first nuclear power station in the following two to three years.

In October 2015, Kazakhstan announced that, 65 of the largest Kazakh state-controlled companies in theoil and gas, transportation, energy and nuclear sectors, including Samruk Energo will be privatised via anIPO between 2016 and 2020. The decision to sell a stake in the state-controlled energy companies wasprecipitated by both political and economic factors: the country's export-driven, hydrocarbon-basedeconomy suffered greatly amid crashing commodities prices, and mismanagement of its currencyexacerbated these problems further.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2015-2021)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Kazakhstan Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2015-2020)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Table: Kazakhstan Snapshot: Power Sector
Kazakhstan Forecast Scenario
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2014-2019)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2020-2025)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
CEE Power Risk/Reward Index
Kazakhstan Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation and Competition
Pricing
Kazakhstan Power Projects Database
Table: Kazakhstan Power - Top 10 Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Samruk-Energo
KEGOC
AES
Company Profile
Samruk-Energo
Regional Overview
Europe - CEE Power: Affordable Coal To Trump Renewables
Table: Turkey - Ambitious Renewables Targets
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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