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Kazakhstan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

Kazakhstan Oil and Gas Report Q4 2015

BMI View: Despite prolonged delays at the giant Kashagan field, which are suppressing Kazakhstan's hugeunderground potential, and the gradually worsening regulatory environment, we maintain a largely positivelonger-term outlook for the country's oil and gas sector. Between 2014 and 2024, we forecast Kazakhstan'soil and gas output to increase by 46% and 59% respectively, thus boosting exports and supporting thecountry's oil-dependent economy.

Key developments in Kazakhstan's oil and gas industry:

In July 2015, Canadian oil and gas company Tethys Petroleum has entered an agreement for aUSD47.7mn private placement of more than 318mn new ordinary shares at a price of CAD0.19(USD0.14) with Kazakhstan-based AGR Energy. AGR will own 32% of Tethys if the company's othershareholders fully subscribe for the new shares, or else AGR's stake could go up to 51%


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Forecasts (Kazakhstan 2013-2019)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Upstream Exploration
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Upstream Projects
Table: Kazakhstan Major Upstream Projects
Upstream Production - Oil
Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Oil Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Upstream Production - Gas
Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Refining
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Refined Fuels Consumption
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Gas Consumption
Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Consumption (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Trade - Oil
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Gas Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Risk/Reward Index
Table: CEE: High Risk, Low Reward
Table: CEE Upstream, Downstream And Overall Risk/Reward Index
Upstream: All Pipes Point To China
Regional Minnows Holding Up
Table: CEE Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Downstream: Turkish STAR Brightens Weak Market
Table: CEE Downstream Risk/Reward Index
Kazakhstan - Risk/Reward Index
Upstream - Rewards
Upstream - Risks
Downstream - Rewards
Downstream - Risks
Market Overview
Kazakhstan Energy Market Overview
Overview/State Role
Licensing And Regulation
International Energy Relations
Oil & Gas Infrastructure
Oil Refineries
Table: Major Refineries In Kazakhstan
Oil Terminals/Ports
Oil Pipelines
Gas Storage Facilities
Gas Pipelines
Competitive Landscape
Competitive Landscape Summary
Table: Key Players - Kazakhstan Oil And Gas Sector
Company Profile
KazMunaiGaz (KMG)
Chevron
Eni Kazakhstan
BG Kazakhstan
ExxonMobil Kazakhstan
Shell Kazakhstan
Lukoil Kazakhstan
CNPC
Other Summaries
Regional Overview
Central And Eastern Europe Oil & Gas Regional Overview
Oil Production: Caspian Driving Growth
Oil Consumption: Demand Tempered Due To Russian Weakness
Refining Capacity: Few Opportunities In Weak Market
Natural Gas Production: Caspian Ramping-Up For 2020 Targets
Table: Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline Expansions
Gas Consumption: Soft Demand Supports Exports
Global Industry Overview
Global Energy Market Overview
Table: Top 10 Global Oil Producers - Crude Oil, Condensates & NGLs Production ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production Growth 2015-2024* ('000b/d)
Appendix
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Central And Eastern Europe - Regional Appendix
Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000b/d)
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 ('000b/d)
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Table: LNG Exports - Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 (bcm)
Table: Net LNG Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2016-2024 (bcm)
Kazakhstan - Total Hydrocarbons, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Total Hydrocarbons Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Kazakhstan - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Net Exports Breakdown (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2013-2018)
Table: LPG Production, Consumption and Net Exports (Kazakhstan 2019-2024)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Source
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Bmi's Oil & Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index
Table: Weighting

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