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Japan Metals Report 2015

Japan Metals Report 2015

BMI View: Weak economic growth will lead Japan's metals industry to see minimal growth to 2019. Thecountry's construction and infrastructure industries will see declining growth by late-2015 after recentexpansion, while automotive production will be modest over the coming years. Yet a weaker yen is likely toencourage exports, supporting stable production levels.

Japanese refined metal production and consumption will see minimal growth in the coming years onaccount of weakening economic fundamentals. Our outlook for Japanese economic growthremains below consensus, as we currently forecast real GDP growth of just 0.9% in 2015. However, recentmonetary loosening may boost construction in the shorter term through subdued interest rates, and a weakeryen should support metal exports.

BMI Industry View
Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
Steel: Headwinds Remain, Yet Sector To Remain Global Leader
Japanese Steelmakers To Remain Global Leaders
Table: Steel Production & Consumption (Japan 2011-2019)
Table: Steel Industry Historical Data (Japan 2006-2013)
Aluminium: Modest Tailwinds Though Growth To Remain Subdued
Recent Construction Growth To Fade
Table: Aluminium Production & Consumption (Japan 2011-2019)
Copper: Production Growth To Outpace Consumption
Consumption Growth To Decline
Exports To Grow
Table: Refined Copper Production, Consumption & Balance (Japan 2011-2019)
Regulatory Development
Foreign Investors Face Roadblocks
Corruption Generally Minimal
Table: Japan - Political Outlook
Commodities Forecast
Steel: Oversupply To Subdue Prices Until 2017
Table: BMI Steel Price Forecast
Market Balance: Surplus To Persist Until 2017
Table: Steel Forecasts (2015-2019)
Industrial Metals: Remaining Below-Consensus
Chinese Demand To Remain Weak Despite Stimulus
Tightening Market Balance To Support Price Recovery
Competitive Landscape
Country To Remain Global Leader In Steel
Table: Japan - Largest Listed Metal Companies
Company Profile
Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal
Table: Nippon Steel - Top Customers
Table: Nippon Steel - Key Financial Data
JFE Holdings
Table: JFE Holdings - Supply Chain Analysis
Table: JFE Holdings - Financial Data
Cross Checks

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