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Italy Food and Drink Report Q3 2015


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Italy Food and Drink Report Q3 2015

BMI View: The Italian economy will return to growth in 2015 after a three-year recession. We forecast realGDP to expand by 0.7% in 2015 and 1.1% in 2016. While we expect the economic outlook to improvesignificantly in 2015, severe structural challenges are still facing the Italian economy. According to ourforecasts, Italy's economic output will remain well below pre-crisis levels over the medium-to-long term, aswe forecast annual real GDP growth will barely break 1% over the next 10 years. With one of the highesthousehold savings rates in Europe prior to the global economic crisis, and among the lowest private debtburdens, private consumption was not a strong driver of GDP growth in the past decade. We do not expectthis trend to change, and forecast private consumption growth of 0.5% in 2015 and 0.8% in 2016.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

2015 per capita food consumption = +0.1% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate(CAGR) 2014 to 2019 = +0.9%

2015 alcoholic drink value sales = +0.7%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +1.4%

2015 soft drink value sales = +0.4%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +1.9%

2015 mass grocery retail sales = +0.3%; CAGR 2014 to 2019 = +1.1%


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
Consumer Outlook
Food
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019)
Confectionery
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2012-2019)
Canned/Prepared Food
Frozen Fruit And Vegetables
Table: Frozen Fruit & Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Snack Foods
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Table: Jams & Jellies Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Italy 2014-2019)
Pasta
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Meat, Fish And Dairy
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecast (Italy 2014-2019)
Oils & Fats
Drink
Soft Drinks
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production & Trade (Italy 2014-2019)
Hot Drinks
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Alcoholic Drinks
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type, %
Trade
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts (Italy 2014-2019)
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Italy 2010-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Western Europe - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Q315
Italy Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Food
Agriculture
Food Processing
Prepared Food
Confectionery
Drink
Hot Drinks
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Italy 2006-2015)
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Italy 2006-2015)
Industry Trends And Developments
Food
Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Competitive Landscape
Table: Key Players In Italy's Food Sector
Table: Key Players In Italy's Drink Sector
Table: Key Players In Italy's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
Gruppo Galbani
Perfetti Van Melle
Gruppo Barilla
Carapelli Firenze SE
Gruppo Campari
Birra Peroni
Conad
Global Industry Overview
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q115 Roundup
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Italy 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Italy 1990-2025)
Glossary
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Food & Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting

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