We leave our forecasts unchanged this quarter. After an estimated 0.9% rise in generation to 70.6TWh in 2017, wepredict that generation will increase by 1.1% in 2018 before the pace of increases falls back below the 1.0% mark annually for therest of the forecast period, with average growth of 0.6% per annum across the full 10-year timeframe to 2027. Coal currently edgesnatural gas as the biggest single contributor of power to the country’s grid, but we expect natural gas to edge past coal as theprimary form of generation in 2024, as the country utilises its enormous reserves of this commodity, although coal will persist as acrucial element of the power mix through to 2027 and beyond. We remain cautious about the development of renewable energy,given that IEC has complained current grid infrastructure is inadequate to handle supply from this relatively volatile and under-developed resource.
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