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Israel Freight Transport Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We forecast positive growth across Israel's freight transport modes in 2016 and 2017. This isan improvement on recent years, when the sector has seen declining volumes on air planes and at thecountry's major ports, owing to sluggish economic growth - domestically and in major trade partnerEurope - and political instability on its borders with other states, and with Gaza. Political risk is always athreat in Israel and could derail our forecasts should further war break out with Gaza or other of Israel'sneighbours.

Israel will see a recovery in its total trade real growth in 2016. We forecast there will be 3.3% expansion,following an estimated 2.5% real contraction in total trade in 2015. This will be driven by a 5.0% boost inimports, while exports will undergo much slower growth at 1.5%. The disparity between the two willdiminish in 2017, when imports will expand 5.0% once more, but exports will see stronger growth at 3.5%.

Real growth in trade will remain positive over our medium-term forecast period, averaging 4.5% annuallyto 2020. This marks an improvement over the previous five years when trade growth averaged 2.1%annually due to the global economic crisis and political unrest.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Israel 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Israel 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Israel 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
El Al Israel Airlines
Political Outlook
Foreign Policy
Table: US Grants To Israel, USDmn
Table: US - Defense Budget Appropriations for US-Israeli Missile Defense, USDmn
Long-Term Political Outlook
BMI's Long-Term Political Risk Index
Table: Israel Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Israel - Private Consumption And Exports To Drive Growth Acceleration
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts
Table: Net Exports Forecast
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Israel 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Israel 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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