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Ireland Country Risk Report 20 2018

Ireland Country Risk Report 20 2018

Economic activity in Ireland will cool over the coming years, but remain above eurozone averages.


Executive Summary
Core Views
Key Risks
Chapter 1: Economic Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Economic Risk Index
Economic Growth Outlook
Underlying Growth To Remain Robust
GDP By Expenditure Outlook
TABLE: GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
TABLE: PRIVATE CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: GOVERNMENT CONSUMPTION FORECASTS
TABLE: FIXED INVESTMENT FORECASTS
TABLE: NET EXPORTS FORECASTS
Outlook On External Position
TABLE: CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE FORECAST
TABLE: CAPITAL AND FINANCIAL ACCOUNT BALANCE
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOOD EXPORTS
TABLE: TOP FIVE GOOD IMPORTS
Monetary Policy
ECB Normalisation Finally Nearing
Structural Fiscal Position
TABLE: FISCAL AND PUBLIC DEBT FORECASTS
Currency Forecast
EUR: Rally Running Out Of Steam
TABLE: BMI EUROZONE CURRENCY FORECAST
Chapter 2: 10-Year Forecast
The Irish Economy To 2027
Top EU Performer
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 3: Political Outlook
SWOT Analysis
BMI Political Risk Index
Domestic Politics
Prospect Of Early Elections Rising
TABLE: POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Political Outlook
Political Challenges Remain
Chapter 4: BMI Global Macro Outlook
Trade Tensions Take Centre Stage
TABLE: GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS – REAL GDP GROWTH, % y-o-y
TABLE: IRELAND – MACROECONOMIC DATA AND FORECASTS

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