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Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

Iran Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

BMI View: In 2016, we forecast a relatively healthy year of growth across the freight modes in Iran,predicated predominantly on the news that the removal of almost all sanctions on Iran's economy will causea significant uptick in economic growth over the coming years, reaching between 3% and 6. This will alsobenefit both imports and exports as trade links are built and strengthened. We expect Iran's economy toemerge from recession as the country complies with demands on its nuclear programme. Iran has hugepotential across almost all sectors (not just oil and gas which attracts most of the attention), and wehighlight industries related to the consumer - especially autos and food and drink.

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Iran's total trade will see real growth of 1.5% in 2016, a scenario that will be driven by exports, whichwill see real growth of 2.0%, while imports will expand more sluggishly at 1.0%, as the Iranian consumerwill take some time to recover from the economic woes of recent years, not least heavy depreciation inthe rial.

The outperforming freight mode in Iran is set to be rail freight over both the short and medium term. Thissector will see y-o-y growth of 2.7% in 2016 and we anticipate it averaging annual growth of 3.0%between 2016 to 2020.


BMI Industry View
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2013
2020)
SWOT
Freight Transport and Shipping SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2013
2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2013
2020)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Iran 2013
2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Iran 2013
2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Iran 2013
2020)
Shipping Forecast
Table: Major Ports Data (Iran 2013
2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990
2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990
2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990
2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990
2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990
2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
SectorSpecific Methodology
Sources

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