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Iran Freight Transport Report Q4 2015

Iran Freight Transport Report Q4 2015

BMI View: An agreement was reached between Iran and the P5+1 powers in Vienna in July which shouldsee all sanctions against the Middle Eastern country removed in 2016. This is highly positive news for thefreight transport sector in Iran, in particular the shipping sector and the country's pipelines, as it willresume oil exports in full. With regards the rest of the freight transport mix, growth will be slow initially asthe economy will take some time to recover. Nevertheless, growth will accelerate over the course of ourmedium-term forecast period to 2019, across all freight modes.

We forecast total road freight volumes will rise by 0.8% in 2015 to reach 109mn tonnes. Growth will be2.8% in 2016.

We forecast total rail freight volumes will rise by 0.3% in 2015 to reach 33.03mn tonnes. Growth will be1.5% in 2016.

We forecast total air freight volumes will rise by 0.3% in 2015 to reach 98,740 tonnes. Growth will be1.2% in 2016.

We forecast total nominal trade value to rise by 7.5% to reach USD251bn in 2015. Growth will be 7.6%in 2016.

The top trade partners will be the UAE, China, India, South Korea and Turkey.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Iran 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Iran 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Iran 2012-2019)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Iran Air Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Table: Iran - Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-Year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economy To Grow Again On Sanctions Relief
Table: Economic Activity (Iran 2010-2019)
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Iran 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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