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Iran Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

Iran Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI View: Iran's banking and financial services sector will remain underdeveloped by global standards,impacted by years of sanctions limiting the involvement of foreign firms and their associated capital andexpertise. While the partial easing of sanctions in 2016 has released previously frozen assets, allowing forincreased foreign participation, we do not expect a significant shift or improvement overall. The heavy statepresence in the sector and weak regulatory oversight remain chief deterrents to involvement in the market,with much-needed structural reforms unlikely to take shape in the coming quarters.

We do not expect Iran's banking and financial services sector to expand significantly over the comingquarters, even with the partial easing of sanctions in 2016 allowing for increased foreign involvement in themarket. Limiting investment is the heavy state involvement in the sector, unlikely to be diminished overcoming quarters; concerns over the quality of financial reporting in a market excluded for years from thefinancial community; and investor fears over a snapback in sanctions or falling foul of sanctions. Moreover,the US dollar cannot be used in transactions, complicating international trade.


BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Finance & Public Services Forecasts (Iran 2015-2020)
Table: Finance & Public Services Forecasts (Iran 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Key Banking Forecasts (Iran 2015-2021)
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Iran 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Iran 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Iran 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Iran 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Iran 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, IRRmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings & Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Iran 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Iran 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Growth Outlook
Investment To Tick Up...
...But No Boom Ahead
Oil Production Growth To Decelerate
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Iran 2016-2026)
Household Income Forecasts
Table: Household Income Data (Iran 2015-2021)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Iran 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Iran 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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