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Indonesia Shipping Report Q1 2016

Indonesia Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Both of Indonesia's main ports are set to experience positive growth in 2016. Consumer demandand economic growth are set to bolster the country's shipping services, although the ongoing slowdown inChina's economy could hold Indonesia back from maximising its potential over the next couple of years.

Indonesia's economy is faring extremely well at present, with real GDP growth forecast to reach 5.6% in2016, up from 4.8% (estimate) in 2015. Added to the country's overall growth is the high rate of per capitagrowth, which we estimate rose by 10.8% in 2015 and, despite contracting slightly to 9.4% in 2016, willremain steadily about 10% in our medium-term forecast to 2019. This high consumer demand led fromfavourable demographics, rising levels of urbanisation and greater household leverage all bode well for thecountry's shipping sector, giving considerable upside risk to our forecasts. Although Indonesia's main exportpartners remain (in order) Japan, China, Singapore, the US and India, bilateral negotiations that were set totake place with the European Union (EU) in September 2015, along with a bilateral agreement of increasedties reached with Singapore earlier in the year, show the country is actively seeking to diversify its tradepartners and export markets, especially away from a stumbling China. This could see pay-offs in themedium term to the country's shipping sector, especially if agreements outside of Asia - such as with the EU- were able to take hold.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Port Of Jakarta (Tanjung Priok) Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Top Import Sources 2006-2013
Table: Top Export Sources 2006-2013
Market Overview
Indonesia Container Shipping Market Overview
Table: Indonesia Container Port Plans
Company Profile
Samudera Shipping Line
Trada Maritime (TRAM)
Shipping - Global Industry View
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Activity
Demographic Forecast
Demographic Outlook
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)

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