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Indonesia Retail Report Q1 2016

Indonesia Retail Report Q1 2016

BMI View: Indonesia will stay unabated by regional and global headwinds in the next four years.

The world's fourth largest population will rapidly grow in affluence as the middle class expands by more than 11mn households before 2019.

As a result, a wide range of markets will enjoy positive double-digit growth: from housing and transport to communications to education and health, as Indonesia's boom continues.

Indonesia's large domestic market and favourable demographic profile offer long-term potential to retail investors; however growth will initially be driven by the wealthiest proportion of the population.

Currently 8.2% of all households earn above USD50,000 annually.

The country possesses a rapidly emerging middle class and this will play an incredibly important role in creating a large and capable customer base that will welcome a variety of brands in most retail sub-sectors.

The middle income bracket of USD10,000+ is expected to boom from 192% of all households in 2015 to 34.0% by 2019.

This growth is already playing a notable role in modernising the country's retail formats, particularly in urban areas.

We believe this modernisation process will continue to generate a wide range of opportunities for retailers over the forecast period, and beyond, particularly in the mass grocery retail sector (MGR), which remains severely underdeveloped.

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Retail Sectors Forecast
Food & Drink
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Labour Market Data (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Babies (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Children (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Children (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young People (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Table: Population: Urban (Indonesia 2012-2019)
Industry Risk Reward Index
Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116
Indonesia - Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Department Store Groups
Household Goods
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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