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Indonesia Power Report Q2 2016

Indonesia Power Report Q2 2016

BMI View: We forecast robust and sustained growth in Indonesia's power sector. Demand on the nationalpower network is growing rapidly - a result of both economic and population growth. The government isunder significant pressure to ensure that supply catches up to demand, and further to create a surplus forenergy exports. Pressure is also growing to develop greater renewable energy capacity, particularlyfollowing the effects of the pollution under the Southeast Asian haze crisis in late-2015. The investmentenvironment continues to improve and we are seeing a growing number of power plant projects entering thepipeline, primarily focused on coal-fired power but with a significant number of hydropower andgeothermal projects planned or underway. We do note, however, that despite ambitious plans, manyprojects have been subject to delays and while we expect generation and capacity to grow throughout theforecast period, we do not expect current government targets to be achievable.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

Some progress is being made in the governments 35,000MW programme. State-owned utilityPerusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN) announced it expects to complete a 100MW gas-fired power plant inthe country's province of Gorontalo in February 2016, the first to be commissioned under the expansionprogramme.

Geothermal is another substantial growth area. In December 2015 the government launched the tenderprocesses for development contracts of three geothermal power plants in Way Ratai, Lampung; Maranain Central Sulawesi; and Gunung Talang- Bukit Kili, West Sumatra. Exploration is expected to takearound five years. The projects, worth a total of around USD380mn, are expected to start electricitygeneration in 2022.

On December 8 2015, President Joko Widodo launched the first of the five new floating power stationscommissioned to address the country's growing demand for electricity. Widodo stated that the other fourvessels will be delivered over the next six months. The vessels will primarily serve eastern Indonesia,including the islands of Sulawesi, Halmaherah, Maluku and Papua.


BMI Industry View
Table: Headline Power Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2020)
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Indonesia Snapshot
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Indonesia 2020-2025)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Indonesia Power Forecast Scenario
Thermal Generation And Capacity Forecast
Nuclear Generation And Capacity Forecast
Hydropower Generation And Capacity Forecast
Non-Hydropower Renewables Generation And Capacity Forecast
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity Forecasts
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)
Electricity Consumption
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)
Transmission & Distribution
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2020-2025)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Asia Power Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
Indonesia Power Risk/Reward Index
Rewards
Risks
Market Overview
Key Policies And Market Structure
Regulation And Competition
Sustainable Energy Policies
Pricing
Indonesia Power Projects Database
Table: Indonesia - Top 10 Projects By Capacity
Competitive Landscape
Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN)
Central Java Power
Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGE)
Regional Overview
Asia Power Regional Overview
Table: China Power Snapshot
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
Methodology And Sources
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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