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Indonesia Autos Report Q2 2015

Indonesia Autos Report Q2 2015

Indonesian auto sales have entered into a tailspin over the past few months, with their decline exacerbatedby the recent hike in fuel prices in November 2014. While we remain optimistic on 2015 and forecast arecovery for this year, we are tempering our growth forecasts as we see demand conditions remaining softin the coming months. We forecast vehicle sales to grow 4.3% in 2015 versus 9.6% previously.

The two salient factors, which have eroded consumers' purchasing power and crimped private consumption,are high inflation and elevated interest rates. Our Country Risk team expects this to persist for much of 2015and this will continue to take a toll on passenger car demand. However, as the market gradually absorbs therise in fuel prices, we see consumer demand picking up in the latter half of the year; we forecast car sales torise by 4.0% in 2015.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2019)
Sales
Production
Industry Development - Challenges Cloud Indonesian National Car Project
Industry Trend Analysis - Rapid Wage Rise Threatens Localisation Efforts
Passenger Cars
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2019)
Sales
Company Developments
Table: Domestic Fuel Prices Before And After Subsidy Reform (IDR/Litre)
Commercial Vehicles
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2019)
Table: Construction Projects For Roads And Bridges Started Between 2010 And 2014
Motorcycles
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Indonesia 2013-2019)
Suppliers
Macroeconomic Forecast
Economic Analysis
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
Asia - Risk/Reward Index
Table: Bmi Industry Risk/Reward Scores - Asia-Pacific Autos
Company Profile
Company Monitor
Toyota Astra Motor
Suzuki Indomobil Motor
Regional Overview
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
Table: Fuel Efficient Vehicle Incentive Schemes
Global Industry Overview
Africa Still The Growth Driver
Oil Prices A Boon For Importers
Regulation Driving Innovation
Table: Fuel Economy Targets By Geography
SUVs To Be Segment Of Choice
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecasts
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators

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