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India Shipping Report Q1 2016

India Shipping Report Q1 2016

BMI View: We expect growth at India's biggest container ports to remain robust in 2015 and 2016 withtotal trade recovering from negative growth in 2014. Drivers to Indian shipping are strong economicgrowth sustained over the past decade which is increasing domestic consumption and therefore demand forimports, improved trade between countries using Indian ports as transhipment hubs and the country'sconcentration on manufacturing which is boosting export volumes. The major restrain remains congestionat facilities caused by strikes and traffic exceeding handling capacity of ports.

Over the medium term 2015-2019 we anticipate average real growth in trade at 4.23% and containerthroughput growth at the ports of Chennai and Jawaharlal at 4.1% and 2.6% respectively. We expectinfrastructure and logistical improvements at ports enabling facilities to accommodate this growth andattract shipping companies to use the country's ports as calling points. Furthermore our forecasts indicatethat GPD growth will average at 7.0% over the medium term supporting shipping activity in India.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Shipping
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust Throughput
Port Of Chennai Throughput
Table: Major Ports Data (India 2013-2019)
Table: Trade Overview (India 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2012-2019)
Table: India's Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: India's Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
India Container Shipping Market Overview
Company Profile
Great Eastern Shipping (GE Shipping)
Mercator Lines
Shipping Corporation of India (SCI)
Varun Shipping
Global Industry Overview
Bright Spot For Shipping: Low Bunker Prices
Table: BMI Bunker Fuel (IFO180 & MGO) Price Forecast
Short-Term Outlook (three-to-six months)
Long-Term Outlook
Risks To Outlook
Global Company Strategy
Maersk Line
Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC)
CMA CGM
Evergreen Line
COSCO Container Lines Company (COSCON)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Agriculture Weakening, Manufacturing & Services Providing Support
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)

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