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India Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

India Freight Transport and Shipping Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Growth in India's freight transport sector will be underpinned by stable economic growth andan expanding manufacturing sector. We expect the country's ports, road and rail sector will be the primarybeneficiaries of Narendra Modi's 'Make in India' campaign to boost manufacturing output. Meanwhile,rising consumer demand and a buoyant pharmaceutical sector will see air freight growth outperform theother freight modes.

We estimate moderate trade growth in real terms in 2015 (ending March 2016), rising by 1.8% - althoughthis is an improvement on the real contraction recorded in 2014. Growth will accelerate in 2016, rising to2.7%. Exports will be the key driver of growth in both years - in 2015 exports will rise by 2.5% comparedto imports' 1.0%, while in the following year the growth levels will be 3.5% and 1.8% respectively. Inpositive news for air freight and the road haulage sector, we expect the government's efforts to boost themanufacturing sector through the 'Make In India' campaign to continue gaining traction, which is evident invarious high frequency data.


BMI Industry View
Table: Trade Overview (India 2013-2020)
SWOT
SWOT
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Short Term
Medium Term
Table: Trade Overview (India 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2013-2020)
Table: Main Import Partners
Table: Main Export Partners
Road Freight Forecast
Short Term
Medium Term
Long Term
Table: Road Freight (India 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Short Term
Medium Term
Long Term
Table: Rail Freight (India 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Short Term
Medium Term
Long Term
Table: Air Freight (India 2013-2020)
Shipping Forecast
Inland Waterway
Ocean Shipping
Table: Major Ports Data (India 2014-2020)
Table: India's Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: India's Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Air India Cargo
Container Corporation of India (Concor)
Indian Railways
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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