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India Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

India Freight Transport Report Q2 2015

BMI View: The primary issue in Indian freight transport is the state of the nation's ports. Investment in the 12 major state-run facilities has not kept up with the demand engendered by rapid economic growth experienced in India over the past decade. Plans to push ahead with the privatisation of state-run facilities will likely see mass strikes in the sector in 2015. Although we believe the move is necessary in order to compete in the long-run, in the short term the privatisation will likely see throughput lost to private ports.

On the positive side, investment in connecting the facilities to the rail network - the backbone of the Indian economy - will increase efficiencies in freight transport, while the rapidly developing pharmaceuticals industry is driving growth in air freight volumes.

Headline Industry Data

2015/16 (ending March 31 2016) Port of Kandla tonnage throughput is forecast to grow by 1.8% and is projected to average growth of 2.3% a year to 2019/20.

2015/16 rail freight growth forecast is 5.6% and is projected to average 5.6% to 2019/20.

2015/16 air freight tonnes growth forecast is 5.6% and is forecast to average 5.7% to 2019/20.

2014/15 total trade real growth forecast at 9.2%, and to average 8.6% to 2019/20.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Air Freight
Table: Air Freight (India 2012-2019)
Rail Freight
Table: Rail Freight (India 2012-2019)
Maritime Freight
Table: Maritime Freight (India 2012-2019)
Trade
Table: Trade Overview (India 2012-2019)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (India 2012-2019)
Table: Main Import Partners, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Table: Main Export Destinations, 2006-2013 (USDmn)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Indian Railways
Container Corporation of India (Concor)
Air India Cargo
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: TABLE: India Political Overview
Long-Term Political Outlook
Challenges And Threats To Stability
Long-Term Political Risk Index
Scenarios For Political Change
Oil Price Outlook
Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018)
Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024)
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (India 2010-2019)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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