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India Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI View: The administration of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is seeking to press ahead with furtherreforms to deal with constraints on growth, ranging from the high level of bad debt in the banking sector toIPOs of state-owned insurers and the rationalisation of the number of mutual fund schemes. Much willdepend on developing financial services for the vast number of Indians that work in the informal sector andhave only a rudimentary understanding of, and poor access to, services.

Recent Trends And Developments

The financial sector's gross value added (GVA) is set to rise from USD113.5bn in 2016 to USD293.8bnby 2026 with growth peaking at 14.6% in 2017 before falling to around 9.5% over the rest of the forecastperiod.

The government's privatisation programme, which includes the sale of stakes in the insurance industry,will fuel growth in equities, which are the main asset class in mutual funds. However, the pace ofdivestment will be slower than the government's targets with legislative hurdles among the areas ofresistance. In addition, over-valuation of assets could see divestments fail to reach the INR725bn targetedin the budget for FY2017/18.


BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (India 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (India 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Listed Private Banks - March 31 2017
Table: Listed Public Banks - March 31 2017
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (India 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (India 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (India 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (India 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (India 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, INRmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings And Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital And Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding And Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written, INR (India 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written, INR (India 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Table: Top 10 Non-Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Table: Investor Classification By Types of Scheme (INRmn)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Mutual Funds In India
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Companies On The Bombay Stock Exchange By Capitalisation, July 2017
Table: Top 10 Companies On The National Stock Exchange By Capitalisation, July 2017
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Table: Real GDP By Output, % Chg y-o-y
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (India 2016-2026)
Household Income Data
Table: Household Income Data (India 2015-2021)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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