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Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

There is a modest upside to the performance of the Hungarian petrochemicals sector in 2016 with theaddition of new butadiene capacity and supportive economic environment, although growth will moderate.The strength of the automotive sector should boost consumption levels in 2016 and beyond.

Growth in rubber and plastic output was strong in the first five months of 2015 at 9.8%, compared to 1.7%decline in industry. While output has been on an upwards trend since mid-2014, in Q215 it showed signs ofa slowdown, in line with the performance of the overall economy. Polyethylene (PE) output rose by 10% yo-y to 272,000 tonnes in H115 with growth largely concentrated in the first quarter with growth slackeningconsiderably in the following quarter. In contrast, polypropylene (PP) experienced a sustained surge with23.5% y-o-y growth to 268,000 tonnes in H115. Petrochemicals output should be supported by a newbutadiene capacity that is due to come onstream by end-2015.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Table: Hungary's Petrochemical Industry, Historical Data & Forecast, 2012-2019
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Central Europe Underperformer
Table: Hungary GDP By Expenditure
Industry Risk Reward Index
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100)
Hungary Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Industry Trends And Developments
Upstream
Downstream
Company Profile
BorsodChem
Magyar Olaj-és Gázipari (MOL)
Regional Overview
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins
Delays and Mothballing in the East
Global Industry Overview
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe
2016 Feedstock Outlook
Could US Gas Run out?
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn
Long-term Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hungary 1990-2025)
Glossary
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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