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Hungary Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

Hungary Banking & Financial Services Report Q4 2017

BMI View: The outlook for Hungary's banking and financial services sector is significantly brighter in linewith a promising short-term economic recovery and more accommodating government policy. A cyclicalupswing combined with loose monetary policy and fiscal incentives should ensure robust growth across thesector, although gains will mostly be seen by the large bank and insurance multinationals that dominate themarket and after years of weak growth and political hostility are now seeking to capitalise on improvingfinancial conditions. Political risks remain significant, given the government's erratic track record and thepotential for another swing towards nationalist populism in the run up to the 2018 elections.

The commercial banking sector is set to emerge from a long contraction to register robust growth in thecoming years as credit conditions improve in the economy. An improving profit outlook for the corporatesector will precipitate higher borrowing, while additional tailwinds will stem from the low interest rateenvironment in Hungary and slowing deleveraging across the private sector. The mortgage sector is aparticularly bright spot given government incentives and a booming real estate market.


BMI Industry View
Banking & Financial Services Industry View
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2020)
Table: Financial Services Forecasts (Hungary 2021-2026)
SWOT
Banking & Financial Services
Banking
Banking Snapshot
Forecast Scenario
Table: Key Banking Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2021)
Table: Hungary - Banking Sector Risk Snapshot
Forecast Tables
Table: Assets Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2020)
Table: Assets Forecasts (Hungary 2021-2026)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2020)
Table: Liabilities Forecasts (Hungary 2021-2026)
Table: Key Ratios Forecasts (Hungary 2015-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Commercial And Retail Banks By Total Assets, HUFmn
Table: Top 10 Banks - Asset Quality
Table: Top 10 Banks - Earnings & Profitability
Table: Top 10 Banks - Capital & Leverage
Table: Top 10 Banks - Funding & Liquidity
Regulatory Environment
Insurance
Insurance Snapshot
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Hungary 2015-2020)
Table: Gross Insurance Premiums Written (Hungary 2021-2026)
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 10 Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Table: Top 10 Non-Life Insurance Companies By Gross Premiums, USDmn
Regulatory Environment
Asset Management
Asset Management Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Regulatory Environment
Stock Exchanges
Stock Exchanges Snapshot
Competitive Landscape
Table: Top 5 Companies By Basket Weighting On The BSE BUX Market, % (July 2017)
Table: Table: Top 5 Companies By Basket Weighting On The BSE BUMIX Market, % (July 2017)
Regulatory Environment
Macroeconomic Overview
Economic Analysis
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Table: Macroeconomic Indicators (Hungary 2016-2026)
Household Income Forecasts
Table: Household Income Data (Hungary 2015-2021)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Hungary 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hungary 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology

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