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Hong Kong Retail Report Q2 2016

Hong Kong Retail Report Q2 2016

BMI View: Hong Kong's retail sector has been facing headwinds over the recent quarters owing todeclining tourist and spending figures from mainland China. Although we expect this negative trend topersist in the near term, we forecast 2016 headline household spending to increase 6.6% y-o-y supported bystronger domestic consumption and rising levels of disposable income.

Key Views & Developments

Purchases by foreigners are expected to remain subdued in 2016 as mainland China continues to faceeconomic headwinds and the yuan weakens in line with our forecast (CNY6.68/USD).

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
Headline Retail Forecast
Table: Total Household Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Retail Sector Forecast
Food, Drink & Tobacco
Table: Food, Drink & Tobacco Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Clothing & Footwear
Table: Clothing & Footwear Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Household Goods
Table: Household Goods Spending (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Household Numbers And Income Forecast
Table: Household Income Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Labour Market Data (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Demographic Forecast
Table: Total Population (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Babies (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young People (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Young Adults (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Table: Population: Urban (Hong Kong 2013-2020)
Industry Risk/Reward Index
Asia Risk/Reward Index
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q216
Hong Kong Risk/Reward Index
Market Overview
Competitive Landscape
Table: Major Clothing & Footwear Retailers
Table: Major Household Goods Retailers
Table: Major Electronics Retailers
Table: Major Department Stores Retailers
Table: Major e-commerce Retailers
Table: Major Pharmacies Retailers
Industry Forecast Methodology
Risk/Reward Index Methodology
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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