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Greece Freight Transport Report 2016

Greece Freight Transport Report 2016

The implementation of a third bailout agreement between Greece and the troika of international lenders (theIMF, EU Commission, and ECB) has eased the immediate pressures on the Greek economy and its keysectors. Greece's current account will remain firmly in surplus over the short term, reducing the potential forfunding strains to emerge in the financial account. This will mainly reflect capital controls restrictingimports. The surplus is forecast to narrow gradually as capital controls are eventually lifted and as modesteconomic recovery gains traction. Nevertheless, the country's longer-term economic outlook remains poor,and the result of the September election is set to solidify this view.

Export growth will be one of the key drivers of a recovery in the Greek economy. We believe there will bemoderate growth in trade over the medium term, with export outpacing import growth at 3.0% and 4.0%respectively. Planned privatisation for large parts of the freight sector will facilitate trade and consequentlythe Greek economy. We remain that net exports will be dependent on the mixed eurozone outlook, and aslight recovery in imports and weak demand from key eurozone trading partners will slow the pace of traderebalancing.


BMI Industry View
SWOT
Freight Transport
Political
Economic
Operational Risk
Industry Forecast
Trade Forecast
Table: Trade Overview (Greece 2013-2020)
Table: Key Trade Indicators (Greece 2013-2019)
Road Freight Forecast
Table: Road Freight (Greece 2013-2020)
Rail Freight Forecast
Table: Rail Freight (Greece 2013-2020)
Air Freight Forecast
Table: Air Freight (Greece 2013-2020)
Market Overview
Company Profile
Aegean Airlines Cargo
Hellenic Railways Organisation
Diana Containerships
Diana Shipping
Paragon Shipping
Navios Maritime Holdings
Excel Maritime Carriers
DryShips
Political Outlook
Domestic Politics
Table: BMI Greece Politics Table
Long-Term Political Outlook
Oil Price Outlook
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride
Macroeconomic Forecasts
Economic Analysis
Table: Economic Activity (Greece 2010-2019)
Demographic Data
Demographic Forecast
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Key Population Ratios (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group (Greece 1990-2025)
Table: Population By Age Group % (Greece 1990-2025)
Methodology
Industry Forecast Methodology
Sector-Specific Methodology
Sources

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