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Global Tin Metals Report Q4 2017

Global Tin Metals Report Q4 2017

BMI View:

We maintain our tin price forecasts of USD19,500/tonne in 2017 and USD20,500/tonne in2018. Prices will increase gradually to USD22,500/tonne by 2021 as the global tin market posts sustainedmarket deficits from 2017 onwards and inventories dwindle.

Latest Developments And Structural Trends

Price Forecast


Despite the recent rally driven by a positive Chinese demand-side picture, the increasing likelihood ofstronger Chinese production in the coming months and our expectation that the country's economy will slowby Q417 means we maintain our tin price forecast at an average of USD19,500/tonne for 2017. This impliesprices will come down from current spot levels and average nearer to USD19,000/tonne during theremainder of 2017. In the coming years tin prices will gradually head higher, averaging USD22,500/tonneby 2021 as the global tin market deficit widens.


BMI Industry View
BMI Industry View - Tin: Deepening Deficits To Support Prices
Table: Global - Tin Supply, Demand & Price Forecasts
Price Forecast
Tin: Market Deficit To Support Uptrend
Table: BMI Tin Price Forecast
Table: Tin Forecasts
Global Trends In Supply, Demand And Trade
Global - Tin: Market Deficit Deepening
Table: Global Tin Forecasts
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts
Mine Supply: Tin Ore
Global - Tin: China, Peru To Drive Stronger Growth Ahead
Table: Global Tin Ore Production Forecast (2012-2021)
Table: Global Selected Tin Projects
Competitive Landscape
Table: Global - Top 10 Tin Producers By 2016 Output
Table: Selected Tin Companies, 2016
Company Profile
Malaysia Smelting Corporation Berhad
Table: MSC - Key Financial Data
PT Timah
Table: PT Timah - Key Financial Data
Minsur – Q4 2017
Table: Minsur - Financial Data
Yunnan Tin – Q4 2017
Table: Yunnan Tin - Key Financial Data
Data Appendix
Tin Production Balance
Table: Global Tin Forecasts
Production Forecasts
Table: Tin Production Forecasts
Consumption Forecasts
Table: Tin Consumption Forecasts
Methodology
Cross Checks

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